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Trans Pacific Partnership targets $2.1 billion boost to New Zealand’s economy by 2025

03 May 2012

The Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) could deliver substantial gains to the New Zealand economy, delegates will be told at the NZ US Council’s 10th Anniversary Conference in Auckland tomorrow.

Research undertaken by the East-West Center, in Honolulu, to be presented by economic research firm NZIER, suggests that, if successfully concluded, TPP could add around $2.1 billion to the New Zealand economy by 2025, said NZ US Council Executive Director, Stephen Jacobi.

“This research is an important contribution to the debate around free trade. It’s the first time comprehensive, independent analysis of the expected economic benefits of the TPP has been published but these gains depend entirely on the ability of negotiators to bring home a fully comprehensive agreement, covering all goods and services,” said Mr Jacobi.

“TPP is a complex undertaking and negotiations invariably take time but the potential prize in completing the negotiation is very significant.”

Mr Jacobi said that rhetoric from opposing groups often clouded the debate around the benefits of a more open environment for trade and investment.

“This research lays out the potential economic gains for everyone to see. By removing barriers to trade and reducing business costs, the TPP can help will grow the New Zealand economy.”

The East-West Center's research indicates that 2025 gains could be larger if a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP) was able to developed from the TPP pathway. New Zealand's GDP is forecast to expand by 0.83 percent under TPP and 1.35 percent under FTAAP.

“Given the potential highlighted in this research, New Zealand businesses should be looking at opportunities in TPP markets so they can benefit when these markets become more open.  Now is precisely the time to start thinking about how to turn these negotiations to commercial advantage. That is essentially the task of tomorrow's conference,” said Mr Jacobi.

The research will be one of a number of perspectives on TPP presented to business, government and community leaders meeting at the NZ US Council’s conference. The conference celebrates the progress made in strengthening the relationship between New Zealand and the United States in the last ten years, and looks ahead to new opportunities arising from the completion of the TPP negotiations now underway between nine economies.

In addition to NZIER, conference speakers will include NZ US Council chairman Rt Hon James Bolger, US Ambassador David Huebner, Foreign Minister Murray McCully, international economist Jeff Schott, US business leader Cal Cohen, Japan Chamber of Commerce’s Hidehiro Okayama, and other leading New Zealand business leaders and commentators.

The NZ US Council conference is proud of the platinum sponsorship provided by Westpac.  The Council is also grateful for gold sponsorship from Dairy Companies’ Association of New Zealand (DCANZ), and the silver sponsorship from Beef + Lamb New Zealand and the Meat Industry Association. The conference also received valuable support from Fulbright New Zealand and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade.  

East-West Center Working Paper - The Trans-Pacific Partnership and Asia-Pacific Integration: A Quantitative Assessment

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